Winning the air war, losing Iran
The real nightmare is not that the Islamic Republic survives intact. It is that it survives broken.
The team responsible for cost-benefit strategic analysis at the Pentagon will be earning its pay this weekend. The Iranian regime is weakened, but its decentralised command structure is built to withstand both decapitation and attrition. Ultimately, the USA and Israel cannot defeat their forces through bombing alone, given 1.3 million men under arms.
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